Ravi Tardeja Weekly Outlook- Stock Market Tips, Newsletters, Technical Analysis
:-: OBSERVATION :-:
1) Total OI of NIFTY FUT up 12.77% NIFTY MARCH FUT up 3.19% last
week. 8 points premium turned to 1 points (-9 points) discount compare
to NIFTY SPOT last week showing not only unwinding plus fresh shorts
at higher levels.
2) Out of NIFTY 50 STOCK FUTS, 41 STOCK FUTS closed positive, 5
STOCK FUTs closed negative and 4 STOCK FUTs close flat last week.
3) OI of MARCH series NIFTY 4900 CE is down 27.84% prices up 58.35%
and NIFTY 5000 CE is down 6.81% prices up 59.74% showing profit
booking. OI of MARCH series NIFTY 5100 CE is up 60.64% prices up
59.74% and NIFTY 5200 CE is up 72.14% prices up 49.51% showing
call buying. 5100 CE highest OI at 69.12 LK.
4) OI of MARCH series NIFTY 4900 PE is up 49.12% prices down 70.63%
showing unwinding plus put writing. OI of MARCH series NIFTY 5000 PE
is up 247.72% prices down 64.50% showing aggressive put writing. OI of
MARCH series NIFTY 5100 PE is up 171.28% prices down 57.42%
showing put writing. 5000 PE highest OI at 69.39 LK.
5) Total OI of NIFTY MARCH series CALLs is up 56.84 LK to 3.07 CR, PUTs
is up 1.08 CR to 4.42 CR. NIFTY MARCH series PCR (OI) at 1.44 up by
0.11 points last week.
6) FII OI in INDEX FUT at 406063 contracts down by 17311 contracts last
week.
:-: CONCLUSION :-:
I expect NIFTY SPOT to show rangebound move with possibility of profit
booking at higher levels next week. NIFTY SPOT will face strong R near
5120-5150 zone. Only above 5150 levels, next R 5180-90, 5230-40 which
looks difficult to achieve in current situation. On down side, NIFTY spot S
5040-50, Strong S 4990-5000 levels. Only below 4980 levels, NIFTY to
show some weakness for TGT 4940-50 levels. Though stock specific action
will remain in market. Better to trade in stocks rather than in NIFTY.
SECTOR WATCH
SECTOR : CEMENT
CEMENT STOCKS TO SHOW UP MOVE
ACC FUT
Total OI up 40.96% prices up 4.74% last week. Longs build
up. R 974, S 927.
AMBUJACEM FUT
Total OI up 31.13% prices up 2.48% last week. Short covering
plus longs build up. R 110, S 105.
GRASIM FUT
Total OI up 17.31% prices up 4.98% last week. Short covering
plus longs build up. R 2833, S 2711.
STOCK FUT TO WATCH NEXT WEEK
ROLTA FUT
TREND : BULLISH
Total OI up 128.76% prices up 2.35%. Longs build up at lower
levels. Once 185 levels taken out, sharp up move
possible. R 185, S 179.
RAVI TARDEJA
DATE :- 06-03-2010